Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.089011 0.103160 0.118621 0.136744 0.157375 0.180100 0.206998
2025-01-05 0.067923 0.086747 0.109157 0.137686 0.172913 0.214847 0.268400
2025-01-12 0.051750 0.072114 0.098278 0.134096 0.181545 0.241901 0.324087
2025-01-19 0.041005 0.061816 0.090445 0.132234 0.191102 0.270394 0.384447
2025-01-26 0.035719 0.057700 0.089793 0.139307 0.212816 0.316738 0.473243
2025-02-02 0.031395 0.054033 0.088927 0.145522 0.233580 0.363524 0.567285
2025-02-09 0.025710 0.047108 0.081894 0.141129 0.237563 0.385830 0.627425
2025-02-16 0.021815 0.042362 0.077446 0.139908 0.245857 0.414886 0.699937
2025-02-23 0.018271 0.037546 0.072058 0.136187 0.249305 0.436192 0.761715
2025-03-02 0.015511 0.033645 0.067613 0.133329 0.253573 0.458804 0.827130
2025-03-09 0.013757 0.031363 0.065733 0.134707 0.265155 0.494398 0.916948
2025-03-16 0.011704 0.028083 0.061443 0.130933 0.266829 0.512758 0.978345
2025-03-23 0.010886 0.027347 0.062155 0.137090 0.288004 0.568202 1.111135
2025-03-30 0.009734 0.025653 0.060662 0.138644 0.300515 0.609051 1.221232
2025-04-06 0.008352 0.023152 0.057063 0.135336 0.302978 0.631279 1.298716
2025-04-13 0.007288 0.021209 0.054390 0.133612 0.308393 0.659510 1.389800
2025-04-20 0.006935 0.021018 0.055695 0.140836 0.333296 0.728056 1.564493
2025-04-27 0.006550 0.020667 0.056566 0.147157 0.356865 0.795810 1.742777
2025-05-04 0.005633 0.018652 0.053056 0.142740 0.356256 0.813934 1.822354
2025-05-11 0.004994 0.017299 0.050996 0.141518 0.362659 0.847124 1.935301
2025-05-18 0.004329 0.015717 0.048082 0.137763 0.362731 0.866684 2.021036
2025-05-25 0.003787 0.014394 0.045645 0.134878 0.364495 0.889956 2.116303
2025-06-01 0.003462 0.013710 0.044881 0.136271 0.376765 0.937486 2.267657